MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bab3e9e9ef56abbd698e6ff13548dc846941d3791426673df8df74c02a16037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof NC Dinos, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc095…8666backed SSG Landers | 72c | 3,732$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.9 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NC Dinos | 32c | 1,078$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.29 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed SSG Landers | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 49c | 785.37$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.43 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 73c | 727.08$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed SSG Landers | 70c | 706.38$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 8c | 488.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NC Dinos | 28c | 354$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked NC Dinos | 32c | 316.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked SSG Landers | 79c | 306$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked NC Dinos | 59c | 296$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 37c | 271.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed SSG Landers | 38c | 262.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed NC Dinos | 60c | 258.15$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed SSG Landers | 79c | 253.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 62c | 246.06$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 37c | 193.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 34c | 191$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed SSG Landers | 39c | 167.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 50c | 162.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed NC Dinos | 64c | 162$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed NC Dinos | 66c | 151.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked NC Dinos | 36c | 147.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed NC Dinos | 62c | 133.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed SSG Landers | 40c | 101.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…76c6backed SSG Landers | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked SSG Landers | 41c | 81.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed NC Dinos | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed NC Dinos | 63c | 77.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 36c | 76.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed SSG Landers | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SSG Landers | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SSG Landers | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked NC Dinos | 35c | 54.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed SSG Landers | 68c | 53.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked SSG Landers | 45c | 52.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed NC Dinos | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed SSG Landers | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked SSG Landers | 40c | 37.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed SSG Landers | 39c | 33.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NC Dinos | 49c | 26.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SSG Landers | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed NC Dinos | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed NC Dinos | 64c | 23.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed NC Dinos | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed NC Dinos | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed SSG Landers | 73c | 17.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed NC Dinos | 62c | 16.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…5b0dbacked NC Dinos | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.