NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Rockets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98272c70b9f84a53eac8ac85c37aa001655bbe8fb7dde68ef23fcfc6b43b7fa8

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Wizards, Rockets
Resolved: Nov 13, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,648,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,600,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,648,532 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Wizards	10c	810,822$77,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77,563.97	80	22.5%18 W · 62 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Wizards	5c	70,000$3,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,550	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Wizards	9c	67,796$6,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,314.93	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Wizards	8c	62,629$5,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,010.35	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards	8c	54,881$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,499.87	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1602…3674backed Wizards	6c	25,530$1,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,411.78	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.8wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Wizards	8c	25,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Wizards	8c	25,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.99	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Wizards	9c	18,497$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	1c	17,187$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.94	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89c2…f884backed Wizards	8c	14,520$1,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Wizards	9c	11,823$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.07	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards	1c	11,278$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.52	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	9c	11,060$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.4	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	9c	10,652$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.89	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards	9c	9,000$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards	11c	8,211$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$943.91	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Wizards	9c	6,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Wizards	1c	5,167$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	5c	5,108$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.8	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f47…7c9bbacked Wizards	9c	4,100$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards	0c	4,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c0…734dbacked Wizards	9c	4,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Wizards	9c	4,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	167	30.5%51 W · 116 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Wizards	9c	4,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Wizards	9c	3,960$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.39	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wizards	9c	3,895$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.37	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wizards	1c	3,661$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.12	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c1…06cebacked Wizards	9c	3,600$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Wizards	0c	3,240$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	750	2%15 W · 735 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards	0c	3,005$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	0c	2,909$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.29	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Wizards	2c	2,692$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	165	32.1%53 W · 112 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked Wizards	9c	2,592$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.27	231	39.8%92 W · 139 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Wizards	9c	2,200$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	198	45.5%90 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d6…0e79backed Wizards	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc517…f390backed Wizards	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	117	53%62 W · 55 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Wizards	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+7.2wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6dae…b6a5backed Wizards	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f8…a547backed Wizards	9c	1,943$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.91	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…ef35backed Wizards	10c	1,800$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	140	57.9%81 W · 59 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards	9c	1,400$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.02	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3275…7b7ebacked Wizards	10c	1,400$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	122	54.9%67 W · 55 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd390…dc62backed Wizards	9c	1,316$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.43	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Wizards	13c	1,300$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.99	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0898…42d5backed Wizards	9c	1,222$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d63…77dcbacked Wizards	10c	1,200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	133	57.9%77 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3876…4802backed Wizards	10c	1,200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	140	54.3%76 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff0d…0381backed Wizards	9c	1,166$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.91	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe760…aadcbacked Wizards	10c	1,138$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.78	152	48.7%74 W · 78 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Wizards	9c	1,040$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.6	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f70…afc9backed Wizards	8c	1,022$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Wizards	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	364	23.4%85 W · 279 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Wizards	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	243	30.9%75 W · 168 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1560…dda1backed Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8005…abc0backed Wizards	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x101b…036bbacked Wizards	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	9c	991.99$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.39	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	5c	859.18$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.96	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8054…6319backed Wizards	10c	800$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6b…f038backed Wizards	10c	800$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Wizards	9c	798$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.82	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d75…5b0dbacked Wizards	4c	769.96$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.09	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	36cpaid	+72%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Wizards	7c	713.75$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.45	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…f05abacked Wizards	9c	652.44$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.72	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd66…21bfbacked Wizards	9c	621.56$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Wizards	8c	607.95$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.81	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae68…a807backed Wizards	5c	598.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.47	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdec1…ce77backed Wizards	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf597…15f4backed Wizards	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe478…89f6backed Wizards	9c	550$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Wizards	5c	550$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Wizards	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	100	30%30 W · 70 L	+7.7wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Wizards	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c77…05f5backed Wizards	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-54%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40b…3a5ebacked Wizards	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc08b…e35bbacked Wizards	8c	472.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+7.4wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Wizards	9c	469.56$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.26	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Wizards	9c	411.11$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	271	45.4%123 W · 148 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdceb…cd72backed Wizards	10c	387.2$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.72	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Wizards	9c	350$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29fe…c0f6backed Wizards	9c	344.11$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…72bebacked Wizards	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dea…3adfbacked Wizards	9c	325$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-52%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Wizards	9c	320.89$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.88	88	55.7%49 W · 39 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6efa…3468backed Wizards	9c	305$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Wizards	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e49…36a1backed Wizards	3c	300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed Wizards	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef9…c535backed Wizards	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…eb82backed Wizards	9c	277.22$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Wizards	10c	270$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+102.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Wizards	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	563	48.5%273 W · 290 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb612…dc37backed Wizards	10c	230$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11fe…0736backed Wizards	11c	224$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.64	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Wizards	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	347	47%163 W · 184 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Wizards	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	126	50.8%64 W · 62 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b64…dab3backed Wizards	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x031c…0fefbacked Wizards	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Rocketsthis page
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Rockets won
Wizards vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Wizards vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Wizards vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5Over won
Wizards vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5Over won
Wizards vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5Over won
Wizards vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Rockets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event