NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ba19c820f2d1688fcdbb9293124b8b53b24e029ec1d815ff64ebea3bc83f4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 10,620$5,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,273.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 51c | 7,866$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.52 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 51c | 3,318$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.11 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…447cbacked Over | 51c | 921.57$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 575.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Over | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 458$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Under | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…9d12backed Over | 53c | 133.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 106$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…a4a9backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…30babacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…b52cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 55c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5this page
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Rockets won
- Wizards vs. RocketsRockets won
- Wizards vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Wizards vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.