MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab569a74abba9c264461e55031445a7e79a3c1362e32892232818cb448292d75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Kia Tigers | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…185fbacked NC Dinos | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 945.93$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.22 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 804.88$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,213 | 49.1%595 W · 618 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 697.41$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.41 | 5,240 | 56.8%2,974 W · 2,266 L | +130.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 28c | 444.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 866 | 35.6%308 W · 558 L | -26.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 66c | 432.41$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 1,878 | 52.1%978 W · 900 L | +52.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 30c | 386.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 360.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NC Dinos | 57c | 280.14$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 257.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 234.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 221.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed NC Dinos | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 197.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kia Tigers | 29c | 195$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 962 | 55.1%530 W · 432 L | +30.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…9225backed NC Dinos | 60c | 167.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked NC Dinos | 62c | 162.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked NC Dinos | 47c | 138.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 63c | 128$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 1,822 | 49.2%897 W · 925 L | -25.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Kia Tigers | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 65c | 118.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 109.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 59c | 109.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 1,979 | 53.2%1,052 W · 927 L | +45.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 59c | 109.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 58c | 106.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 1,286 | 49.4%635 W · 651 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 25c | 106.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 5,861 | 43.7%2,562 W · 3,299 L | -190.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 60c | 101.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed NC Dinos | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 89.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked NC Dinos | 57c | 84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kia Tigers | 20c | 83.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2,550 | 45.8%1,168 W · 1,382 L | -75.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed NC Dinos | 58c | 77.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Kia Tigers | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…7f8bbacked Kia Tigers | 29c | 68.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 62.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,975 | 41.3%815 W · 1,160 L | -27.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Kia Tigers | 30c | 53.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Kia Tigers | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 574 | 46.9%269 W · 305 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,109 | 79.5%882 W · 227 L | +31.8wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6049…3b85backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 47.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed NC Dinos | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed NC Dinos | 72c | 44.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NC Dinos | 50c | 44.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 1,852 | 54%1,001 W · 851 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed NC Dinos | 68c | 43.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked NC Dinos | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed NC Dinos | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked NC Dinos | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked NC Dinos | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed NC Dinos | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 36.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 59c | 36.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 3,036 | 48%1,458 W · 1,578 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 292 | 52.7%154 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…5b0dbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed NC Dinos | 58c | 31.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked NC Dinos | 74c | 31.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,209 | 29%351 W · 858 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…20b2backed NC Dinos | 80c | 24.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed NC Dinos | 59c | 23.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed NC Dinos | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed NC Dinos | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…fd32backed NC Dinos | 70c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.