MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x977c0519cc902a6bf7a8a6015ab745581615790f3f19b6f98b88c38054790d68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Athletics, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $731,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $769,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 135,783$96,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,377.15 | 509 | 53.8%274 W · 235 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Athletics | 19c | 120,005$22,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,201.23 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Athletics | 9c | 98,323$8,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,519.32 | 901 | 46.3%417 W · 484 L | +25.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 22c | 88,500$19,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,241.39 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 29c | 55,555$16,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,110.93 | 1,436 | 49.3%708 W · 728 L | -6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 54,000$38,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,660 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 48,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 263 | 57%150 W · 113 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Athletics | 29c | 38,546$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.76 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83c…1b22backed Athletics | 29c | 30,837$8,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,942.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 26,820$19,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.68 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 16c | 17,878$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.02 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Athletics | 28c | 15,028$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.89 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Athletics | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…c28ebacked Athletics | 1c | 7,910$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…fa68backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 7,606$5,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Athletics | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 363 | 43%156 W · 207 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 0c | 6,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Athletics | 29c | 6,393$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.97 | 718 | 53.3%383 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 26c | 5,787$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.32 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 5,600$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Athletics | 29c | 4,361$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.79 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 29c | 3,419$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.82 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.33 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Athletics | 30c | 2,557$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.1 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 2,337$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.36 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Athletics | 29c | 2,170$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.3 | 214 | 36.9%79 W · 135 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Athletics | 26c | 2,055$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.67 | 1,848 | 50.3%930 W · 918 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 2,026$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 2,001$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.28 | 1,438 | 51%734 W · 704 L | -18.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Athletics | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 1,988$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.41 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Athletics | 4c | 1,850$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 1,014 | 44.8%454 W · 560 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 29c | 1,755$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.55 | 1,671 | 49.1%820 W · 851 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 29c | 1,749$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.39 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…0322backed Athletics | 29c | 1,667$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 2c | 1,584$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 1,516$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.48 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 11c | 1,119$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Athletics | 29c | 1,102$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.58 | 486 | 45.7%222 W · 264 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4a…2d2bbacked Athletics | 29c | 1,078$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Athletics | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Athletics | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 837 | 42.8%358 W · 479 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Athletics | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Athletics | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 307 | 46.9%144 W · 163 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Athletics | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Athletics | 10c | 903.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 803.07$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8aa8backed Athletics | 29c | 711.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 704.11$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Athletics | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Athletics | 14c | 679.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 214 | 33.2%71 W · 143 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 673.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Athletics | 30c | 639.26$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 619.72$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…5323backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 605.63$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 589.56$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 583$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 1,543 | 48.6%750 W · 793 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 16c | 567.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 561$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Athletics | 29c | 560$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…7860backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 524.38$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Athletics | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 952 | 34.3%327 W · 625 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Athletics | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Athletics | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Athletics | 29c | 432.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…dc31backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Athletics | 29c | 413.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Athletics | 6c | 412.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Athletics | 3c | 410$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 218 | 22.9%50 W · 168 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Athletics | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Athletics | 30c | 385.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 375$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 370$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 346$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 342.31$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 29c | 340$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Athletics | 12c | 332.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 554 | 40.8%226 W · 328 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Athletics | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…1a11backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Athletics | 4c | 258.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 879 | 48%422 W · 457 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Athletics | 30c | 256$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1,309 | 50.7%664 W · 645 L | -6.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Athletics | 30c | 255.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 276 | 51.4%142 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 239.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Athletics | 30c | 235.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 29c | 219.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1,226 | 43.6%534 W · 692 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 205.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 30c | 205$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Athletics | 30c | 203.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 464 | 45.7%212 W · 252 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,331 | 44.1%587 W · 744 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Athletics | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 257 | 46.7%120 W · 137 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.