MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c01a9a9208d439c83f10a314b4b91eeb43e055415c976da4398044c1222896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 45c | 44,444$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.75 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 44,308$24,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,239.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 26,042$14,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,785.98 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Athletics | 46c | 22,309$10,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,262 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed Athletics | 45c | 14,622$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 9,927$5,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,570.96 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 7,230$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 6,444$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.71 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 46c | 5,433$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 46c | 5,117$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Athletics | 46c | 4,317$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.95 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 46c | 3,480$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Athletics | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.97 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,777$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.42 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,221$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.9 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 45c | 2,157$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.3 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 47c | 1,937$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 45c | 1,584$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.65 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 34c | 1,496$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,333$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.3 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Athletics | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,027$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.36 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Athletics | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.03 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…c304backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Athletics | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Athletics | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 730$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 44c | 714.1$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.2 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 525$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 488.94$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Athletics | 8c | 442.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 431.94$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.69 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Athletics | 46c | 381.06$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 23c | 315.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 280.68$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Athletics | 45c | 277.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 272.72$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.45 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…5db2backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 272.72$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Athletics | 48c | 260.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Athletics | 46c | 203.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 30c | 201.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Athletics | 46c | 194.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 46c | 188.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7c…be85backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 157.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Athletics | 45c | 149.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 146.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Athletics | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Athletics | 46c | 133$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Athletics | 47c | 98.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Athletics | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Athletics | 43c | 98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Athletics | 36c | 81.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 66.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Athletics | 46c | 65.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Athletics | 48c | 56.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Athletics | 36c | 54.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Athletics | 46c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Athletics | 36c | 52.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Athletics | 47c | 50.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…f0f8backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Athletics | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…efa9backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Athletics | 46c | 44.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 36.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Athletics | 47c | 34.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Athletics | 36c | 34.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 32.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Athletics | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…1fb0backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.