MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a5018162898ad335962b8443e00ba86bc77245ff66fc654d65693310b2347b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 103,796$52,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,855.52 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 49c | 34,246$16,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,465.46 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Over | 49c | 17,839$8,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,097.81 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 13,354$6,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.08 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 13,245$6,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,736.07 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 11,951$5,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 9,339$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 6,107$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.16 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 4,508$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.49 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 52c | 3,850$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.23 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 49c | 3,053$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.19 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 2,699$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.43 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 2,429$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 51c | 2,172$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.51 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 1,862$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.35 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 50c | 1,277$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.92 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 1,092$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.05 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 49c | 850$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 838.23$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 720$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 52c | 674$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Under | 52c | 600$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 51c | 571.29$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Under | 44c | 561.2$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Over | 79c | 544$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Under | 47c | 487.94$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.33 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 25c | 487.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 412$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.51 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 49c | 374.15$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 48c | 332.67$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Under | 52c | 257.04$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Under | 53c | 246.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 58c | 241.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 233$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 51c | 228.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 51c | 228.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 51c | 228.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 52c | 224.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Under | 52c | 205$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Under | 52c | 205$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Under | 52c | 205$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Under | 52c | 197.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 49c | 195$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 48c | 190.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 51c | 190.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 37c | 186.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Over | 50c | 175.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 50c | 173.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 50c | 166.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 50c | 159$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 138.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 50c | 134.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 123.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Over | 67c | 113.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 51c | 105.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Over | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Over | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 52c | 87.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 51c | 86.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 81.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 49c | 80.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Under | 47c | 75.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 50c | 69.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 50c | 69.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…38b2backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 51c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 49c | 53.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Under | 54c | 51.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Under | 54c | 50.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Under | 55c | 50.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Over | 50c | 39.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 49c | 37.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Under | 55c | 37.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.