MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec441b8529f338c97ef74c11de811a52ba9ef3d69a3522054bd6fb2931c3faba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Philadelphia Phillies, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 122,025$63,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,453.25 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 66,159$31,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,402.64 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 21,933$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.07 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 18,973$9,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,262.99 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…ab5abacked Seattle Mariners | 75c | 17,799$13,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 13,537$6,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,051.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 7,143$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.55 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 6,708$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.04 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 6,675$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 6,102$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 6,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 5,747$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.67 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 5,498$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.26 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.93 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 3,999$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 3,472$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.22 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 3,313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 3,171$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.72 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 2,736$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 2,595$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 2,333$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 2,189$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 2,050$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 2,048$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.96 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 2,002$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.04 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 1,752$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.17 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,686$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.37 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,614$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.99 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.98 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 1,432$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…ac3ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,254$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.85 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 1,219$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.07 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…19b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,203$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,160$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.8 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,110$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.31 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,072$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…df55backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,067$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,057$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 1,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 999$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.48 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 909.22$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.61 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 851.87$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.49 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 849.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 826.21$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 754.54$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.82 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…2ebdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 721.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 678.81$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.98 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 573.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 557.19$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 521.49$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.65 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…3820backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 499.62$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.8 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 476.74$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.37 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…404abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 453.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 432.69$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.67 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 430$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 407.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Seattle Mariners | 74c | 404.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 396.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 394$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 385.42$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.42 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 367.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 313.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 293.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 282.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 253$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…c514backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 250.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 236$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…10acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 230.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 213.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 205$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 202.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 187$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 183.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…b25bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 179.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 168.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…32fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 168.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.