MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0abf84c016b57e2df790a22c564ce29dde968519cf6834eb8e97e96a260177a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,054,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,027,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,054,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 199,999$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,999.5 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 156,230$81,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,905.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Houston Astros | 50c | 136,874$68,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,437.1 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 40c | 68,622$27,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,555.9 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 49c | 42,742$20,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,733.34 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 24c | 40,379$9,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,795.6 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 38,848$20,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,824.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 50c | 36,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Houston Astros | 50c | 35,889$17,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,892.49 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Houston Astros | 53c | 25,818$13,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,808.36 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 51c | 18,924$9,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,572 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 50c | 17,689$8,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 14,592$7,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,766.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 14,080$7,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.52 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 13,536$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,835.93 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 40c | 13,247$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.34 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 49c | 11,267$5,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,519.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 5,052$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.56 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Houston Astros | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 5,000$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.5 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 4,702$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Astros | 34c | 4,225$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.4 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 4,219$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Houston Astros | 32c | 4,022$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.75 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 4,010$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.99 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Houston Astros | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 45c | 3,727$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.46 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,495$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.32 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 3,157$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.71 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 2,619$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.88 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 2,610$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.7 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Houston Astros | 52c | 2,556$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Houston Astros | 2c | 2,003$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 64c | 1,883$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.83 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,864$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,764$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.37 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 1,721$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.48 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Houston Astros | 31c | 1,600$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.1 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,599$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,561$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.44 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,516$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.24 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,500$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.86 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,500$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.83 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,171$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.12 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,145$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.36 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,136$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.98 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Houston Astros | 33c | 1,050$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,038$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.38 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 949.28$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 929$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.37 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Houston Astros | 47c | 881.5$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.01 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Houston Astros | 14c | 880$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 844$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.16 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Houston Astros | 20c | 818$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 785$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.18 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 723.77$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.61 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 717.55$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…33e2backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 667.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.64 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 5cpaid | +259.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 659$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.09 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Houston Astros | 48c | 629.12$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.26 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Houston Astros | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 600$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +411.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd4…1fabbacked Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 600$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 600$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Houston Astros | 32c | 591.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.27 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 583.57$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.32 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 41c | 572.84$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.78 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Houston Astros | 28c | 566.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 528.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Houston Astros | 51c | 524.6$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.82 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 514.9$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.52 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 50c | 504.16$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.01 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Houston Astros | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed Houston Astros | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Houston Astros | 44c | 467.92$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Houston Astros | 50c | 443.45$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 427.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.96 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 421.31$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 414.92$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.31 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 409.73$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Houston Astros | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 400$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 6cpaid | +507.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Houston Astros | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 367.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.31 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 364.53$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 359.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Houston Astros | 38c | 355.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.