MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b45d4b78fc75be13e6410374d848eff039b8005b793c3decc084ec96c279cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 54c | 80,000$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,199.99 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 63,899$29,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,501.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 46c | 21,000$9,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,339.98 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 46c | 16,652$7,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,043.56 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 9,258$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 3,699$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.3 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 3,572$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.71 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 3,021$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 2,695$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 2,466$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 2,163$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 54c | 1,560$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.4 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 54c | 1,412$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.19 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Under | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 46c | 1,311$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.13 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 48c | 1,130$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.79 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Under | 46c | 1,115$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.33 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 1,081$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.93 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed Under | 46c | 1,046$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.76 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.36 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.96 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 967.8$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 54c | 939.84$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 45c | 776.11$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.54 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 737.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 55c | 670.87$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.98 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 55c | 544.05$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.23 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 15c | 508.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under | 47c | 284.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.67 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 247.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Over | 54c | 215.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 46c | 177.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 54c | 174.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 54c | 158.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Over | 54c | 146$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 54c | 140$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 46c | 134$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 21c | 133.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 50c | 118.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 52c | 103.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 55c | 102.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 74c | 93.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 55c | 90.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Under | 46c | 89.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 55c | 72.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…59f1backed Over | 24c | 67.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 55c | 54.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 52c | 52.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 47c | 47.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 46c | 45.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 42.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 51c | 40.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 76c | 38.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 54c | 33.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 29.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Under | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 22.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 54c | 22.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 47c | 22.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Under | 70c | 21.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 55c | 20.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…68e1backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 66c | 19.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Under | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston AstrosBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.