TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Over54c80,000$43,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,199.9950153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c63,899$29,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,501.310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Under46c21,000$9,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,339.9826054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under46c16,652$7,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,043.561,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over54c9,258$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.51,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7501,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c3,699$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.33,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c3,572$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.714,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c3,021$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.226,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c2,695$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.998,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c2,466$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.746,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.881,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c2,163$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.5911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9975248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over54c1,560$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.41,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81086653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over54c1,412$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.192,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe478…28eabacked Under45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.336858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under46c1,311$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.1310157.4%58 W · 43 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under48c1,130$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.7977647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Under46c1,115$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.3322948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c1,081$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.9341051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe176…0f99backed Under46c1,046$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.764940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,043$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.3668053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c1,024$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.962,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over53c967.8$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.934,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over54c939.84$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50436048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under45c776.11$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.5451545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over18c737.96$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.238,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over55c670.87$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9873949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over55c544.05$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.231,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over15c508.27$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.334,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27032850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over55c439.2$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5637052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057339.7%29 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under47c284.28$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.672176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c247.5$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.235,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x428d…8cb6backed Over54c215.11$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.169753.6%52 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.410253.9%55 W · 47 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under46c177.2$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6973849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over54c174.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over54c158.73$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7129141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Over54c146$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1513153.4%70 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over54c140$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.91,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under46c134$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3645045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Over21c133.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.824843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under50c118.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.531,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.713748.2%66 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under52c103.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.381,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over55c102.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3957747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.579442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e3…5652backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under74c93.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.538,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509756.7%55 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over55c90.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5615848.7%77 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Under46c89.41$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.523354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over55c72.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4044347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.852852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…59f1backed Over24c67.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff0…2fbabacked Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.224654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over55c54.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7734846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over52c52.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1131258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under47c47.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1919555.9%109 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under45c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.317645.5%80 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under46c45.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6417047.1%80 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under49c42.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.684,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over51c40.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6842448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Under76c38.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3517550.3%88 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over54c37.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over54c33.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2447350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over55c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.371,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over55c29.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.032,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Under45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.212140.5%49 W · 72 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Under47c23.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.44645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over55c22.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5470455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Over54c22.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2214848.6%72 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under47c22.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9815841.8%66 W · 92 L-12.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ed5…3320backed Under70c21.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.333953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Over55c20.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4435149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c69…68e1backed Under72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under66c19.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Over55c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4512753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e0…1d15backed Under80c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.61471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.