MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3525cfc63e5819b117782ccfad2ac597db4a7f47c72d4b97fa302bad6bd530e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 1,528$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.68 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kia Tigers | 45c | 1,164$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Kia Tigers | 38c | 999.98$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.4 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 34c | 889.6$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.49 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 805.28$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.04 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 14c | 583.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Samsung Lions | 32c | 516$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 504.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…5597backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 330$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…fe73backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 329.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 291.78$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 266.45$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Samsung Lions | 10c | 199.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 157.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…ccb6backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 64c | 142$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 135.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Samsung Lions | 36c | 132.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 114.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 95.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 94.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 81.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 14c | 79.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 79.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…d536backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 68.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Samsung Lions | 21c | 64.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 60.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 69c | 53.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kia Tigers | 38c | 51.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 50.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 48.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 43.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Samsung Lions | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Kia Tigers | 74c | 37.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 32.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 31.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 79c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…5b0dbacked Samsung Lions | 43c | 28.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kia Tigers | 39c | 26.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 23.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Kia Tigers | 48c | 20.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 20.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579c…ff45backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 73c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.