MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4896aa40153a4e352a21fe3bf76655eba212ebac82efd6f793cff6b869a2026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 90,999$38,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,328.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 72,289$42,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,650.6 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 53c | 15,860$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 12,189$7,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.1 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 52c | 12,043$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.45 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Houston Astros | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Houston Astros | 59c | 6,024$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.22 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 5,642$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.67 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 5,617$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.04 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Houston Astros | 59c | 4,819$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.38 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Houston Astros | 59c | 3,614$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.53 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,643$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,554$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.99 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 2,085$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.1 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,931$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.23 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,923$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.36 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 37c | 1,686$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.46 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Houston Astros | 4c | 1,573$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 19c | 1,426$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…9b78backed Houston Astros | 14c | 1,364$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 1,361$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.71 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,297$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Houston Astros | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Houston Astros | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 913.3$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.26 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 833.96$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 802.92$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 770.02$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.41 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Houston Astros | 59c | 722$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.98 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Houston Astros | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 630.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.42 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 584.96$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.03 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 566.55$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Houston Astros | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 31c | 565.26$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 559$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.58 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 540$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros | 53c | 534.92$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.51 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Houston Astros | 59c | 511.08$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.54 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 30c | 502.65$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 455.59$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Houston Astros | 32c | 427.87$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 422.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.77 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 16c | 356.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…bdc7backed Houston Astros | 58c | 325.84$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 310$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Houston Astros | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Houston Astros | 52c | 290.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Houston Astros | 31c | 282.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Houston Astros | 22c | 271.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Houston Astros | 34c | 270$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 270$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 250.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 250$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 220.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed Houston Astros | 9c | 220$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 204.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Houston Astros | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…8759backed Houston Astros | 52c | 190.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Houston Astros | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Houston Astros | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 180$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 166.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 41c | 165.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c5c3backed Houston Astros | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 9c | 157.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 150.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 143.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 142.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Houston Astros | 23c | 141.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Houston Astros | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 117.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 143 | 72.7%104 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Houston Astros | 40c | 116.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 112.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 108.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Houston Astros | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…4ec0backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 91.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.