TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Over50c8,895$4,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,446.2515048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under50c8,096$4,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,047.8448352.2%252 W · 231 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over52c5,649$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.245332.1%17 W · 36 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over53c5,623$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009764.9%63 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under46c5,054$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.271852.8%379 W · 339 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under48c3,906$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.259656.3%54 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c3,214$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.424,07039.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L+92.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Over55c2,835$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55062345.4%283 W · 340 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Over52c2,456$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.5742839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over53c1,690$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under49c1,428$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.1252152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under47c1,200$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.9943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c1,125$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.47,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Over51c1,122$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.1419146.6%89 W · 102 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c1,090$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.694940.1%381 W · 568 L+30.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under49c1,033$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.166,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Over54c1,008$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.1513237.9%50 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Under48c858.96$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.6444151.9%229 W · 212 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99b…52b2backed Under49c820$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.21225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under49c807.76$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9642141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over54c744.86$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005064%32 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Under48c729.17$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.174148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Over51c610.25$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5635139.6%139 W · 212 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under47c498.39$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.8758745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Over54c454.54$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under47c431.97$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.951,01350.1%508 W · 505 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Over52c430$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.654450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under50c425$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.511952.1%62 W · 57 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under50c409.76$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.881,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under46c399.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.991,09052.6%573 W · 517 L-4.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0d…337dbacked Under50c353.4$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.71952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Over3c352.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.568950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under46c326.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5781047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under47c301.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.273748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c301.88$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9884349.8%420 W · 423 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1622035%7 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c299.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.991,54049.2%758 W · 782 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over53c280.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502611.5%3 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13051236.5%187 W · 325 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a92…52f8backed Over53c230.19$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-76.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under48c206.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2513163.4%83 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10223247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10636852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc88f…987abacked Under47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1073953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.75561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under47c144.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8584640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759050%45 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over53c128.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6813948.2%67 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under47c119.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.54926.5%13 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Under50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over54c109.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.293066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c105.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.967,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over51c101.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5212846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5244042.3%186 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5238947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5431749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…94d6backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-61.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac15…75a4backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d4…9522backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x750b…8b6ebacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over53c85.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.341,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Under48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.238741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Under48c70.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.835453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Over53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.12626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over54c56.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3625659%151 W · 105 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over54c55.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.745265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under46c54.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3430544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Under72c53.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2782847.3%392 W · 436 L-4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514347.6%68 W · 75 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…6323backed Under50c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.791450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over53c47.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under47c43.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.172,40451.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Under50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219374.2%69 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Over54c40.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8415246.7%71 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffc…a5b7backed Over53c40.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.41717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-62.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under47c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1934154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015837.3%59 W · 99 L-19.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017335.8%62 W · 111 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58c…4fc0backed Over52c36.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b7…fd93backed Under48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.256346%29 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.716552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95052%26 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.383047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0462…aa61backed Over54c29.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f51…43debacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152516%4 W · 21 L-6.4wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-71.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x48dc…c7d5backed Over49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.726666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8179…5c4dbacked Under51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.723046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under49c25.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0545751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9bba…e4a7backed Under47c25.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e0…fe32backed Over53c25.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under48c24.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.83,80945.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L-35.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e4…c62abacked Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124652.2%24 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.