Tennis · resolved market
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7721b8ddd20d283e9fd01cffcd92c7bb7204ec7914ebae60eb3731c313b745d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 61c | 817.75$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.77 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 351 | 39.6%139 W · 212 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…6ba2backed Over | 39c | 459.72$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 59c | 419.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.28 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…43f4backed Over | 41c | 309.76$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over | 51c | 253.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 743 | 43.7%325 W · 418 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…5affbacked Under | 61c | 207.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 39c | 156.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 37c | 138.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Over | 42c | 117.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 64c | 111.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…bcd1backed Under | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4f…19cabacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 60c | 38.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,141 | 47.2%539 W · 602 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 34.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 49c | 30.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…78e4backed Under | 58c | 21.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5this page
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)Cobolli won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.