NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x094835f12b399c43834b8d46eb7ef4f9fe04df5ba3f8cd2bb2a1717f74d1dac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 34c | 11,882$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…8bb6backed Spurs | 31c | 7,299$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 69c | 4,451$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.3 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Knicks | 68c | 4,000$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.44 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 69c | 2,666$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.87 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Spurs | 32c | 2,137$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.91 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Knicks | 68c | 1,544$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.23 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Spurs | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 69c | 750$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.46 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Knicks | 69c | 628$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.68 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 67c | 591.74$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.79 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Knicks | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…51a0backed Knicks | 69c | 442.03$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 71cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Knicks | 69c | 440.16$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Knicks | 64c | 433.9$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Knicks | 70c | 323.7$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ea…b955backed Spurs | 34c | 294.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 30c | 237.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Knicks | 69c | 220.59$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks | 71c | 206$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 31c | 197$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spurs | 31c | 134.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 65c | 132$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Knicks | 69c | 131.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Spurs | 16c | 127$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Knicks | 68c | 102.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Knicks | 68c | 98.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Knicks | 69c | 93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…55b7backed Spurs | 32c | 93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks | 61c | 90.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 73c | 87.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Spurs | 39c | 86.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 38c | 86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Spurs | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…f35dbacked Spurs | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked Knicks | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 30c | 57.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 37c | 52.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…f270backed Knicks | 71c | 52.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Spurs | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Knicks | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks | 67c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Knicks | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Knicks | 53c | 47.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Knicks | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.