NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b4111d13dcc7d99439e85779575e12fe5e43786b9885aeb7e56c7e76c616ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed No | 59c | 861.14$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.47 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 58c | 820.54$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.79 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 52c | 595.13$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.21 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 42c | 416.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked No | 61c | 329.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.9 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…25f9backed Yes | 42c | 237.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…ba22backed Yes | 42c | 231.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 40c | 179.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…de70backed No | 60c | 171.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 59c | 153.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Yes | 47c | 142.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 50c | 133$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed No | 50c | 130.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Yes | 47c | 126.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes | 43c | 116.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 41c | 92.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Yes | 40c | 82.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 57c | 76.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked No | 66c | 76.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…e6fabacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed No | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7840…51b5backed No | 60c | 49.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…7d91backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…31c1backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…1025backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 41c | 35.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 55c | 32.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817d…2527backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 74c | 23.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 56c | 22.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…06d8backed No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 198 | 52%103 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q WinnerSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1st Team to Make a ThreeKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- OG Anunoby Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.