MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d8be4c4e54b33de0e05ff32987d128a1f167cf4046b5c9b84ea0ffec41eed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $366,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x986b…12e9backed Under | 56c | 302,375$168,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,874.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 44c | 126,707$55,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,955.88 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 44c | 75,069$33,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,038.9 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 44c | 29,665$13,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,612.4 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 43c | 16,351$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,241.29 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 44c | 12,500$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,950 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Under | 58c | 10,967$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,335.3 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over | 44c | 9,997$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,598.55 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…9789backed Over | 44c | 5,325$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 56c | 4,926$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.83 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…ebd6backed Over | 44c | 4,129$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 44c | 3,866$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.74 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 43c | 3,624$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 3,107$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.94 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 2,741$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 44c | 2,440$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.53 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 44c | 2,356$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.46 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 44c | 2,000$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.68 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 1,679$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.73 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 43c | 1,608$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.73 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 45c | 1,472$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.66 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 67c | 1,391$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.12 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 45c | 1,322$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.95 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 33c | 1,282$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.1 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 1,025$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.5 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 1,019$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.98 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 795$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 718.29$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 44c | 697.74$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.73 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 56c | 641.2$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.07 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 503.29$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.71 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 64c | 309.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 44c | 293.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 57c | 292.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Under | 55c | 267.28$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 264.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 52c | 263.95$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.72 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over | 45c | 252.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked Under | 52c | 242.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 236$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 44c | 229.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 43c | 228$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Over | 48c | 216.81$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 43c | 196.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 56c | 191.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 45c | 181.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 69c | 146.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 43c | 143.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Over | 44c | 131.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Over | 44c | 125.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…78adbacked Over | 52c | 124.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 111.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 64c | 109.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 48c | 106.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 53c | 100.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 59c | 98.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 74c | 94.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Over | 44c | 91.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 36c | 90.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Over | 45c | 89.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…a7ebbacked Under | 69c | 86.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Over | 44c | 79.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Under | 51c | 77.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a14…cab1backed Over | 30c | 70.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 59c | 69.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 43c | 68.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 49c | 68.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 43c | 68.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 53c | 67.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Over | 48c | 60.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Over | 53c | 59.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…f0b6backed Under | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 57.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 41c | 56.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x33cb…cdf7backed Over | 37c | 55.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Over | 48c | 51.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 43c | 49.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 49.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Under | 56c | 48.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 19.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 20.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.