NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc07873f26a5ba9ee280c16a383e894c1497838075e1c71cb99ce4f2b06678a1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $550,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $635,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Raptors | 51c | 71,084$35,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,155.34 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors | 51c | 51,071$26,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,024.62 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Raptors | 52c | 46,692$24,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,412.31 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 44,595$21,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,405.45 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Raptors | 52c | 38,848$20,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,647.04 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Cavaliers | 49c | 31,990$15,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,675.2 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 52c | 30,965$16,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,922.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Raptors | 52c | 28,004$14,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,442.01 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 48c | 24,325$11,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,675.83 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Raptors | 48c | 22,222$10,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,555.32 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Cavaliers | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Raptors | 50c | 19,348$9,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,646.74 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 19,071$9,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,154.03 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 16,789$8,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,730.19 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cavaliers | 48c | 15,375$7,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,380 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 48c | 13,542$6,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,563.59 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 10,087$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.51 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Cavaliers | 49c | 9,845$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,823.86 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 9,694$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.06 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Raptors | 53c | 9,157$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Cavaliers | 49c | 8,687$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.64 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 8,104$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 50c | 7,350$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.66 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…61aebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 7,064$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Cavaliers | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,927$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.46 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Cavaliers | 49c | 5,924$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.76 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 5,441$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.85 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Raptors | 52c | 4,826$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.54 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Raptors | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Raptors | 57c | 3,394$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.29 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Raptors | 52c | 3,360$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.65 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 3,313$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.1 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,001$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.05 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Raptors | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,987$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.79 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Raptors | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.53 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,810$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.38 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,759$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.41 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,564$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.39 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,546$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.02 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,451$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.09 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,184$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a18…933bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 2,173$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,156$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.7 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,129$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.07 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Raptors | 57c | 2,058$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Raptors | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Raptors | 56c | 1,951$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Raptors | 52c | 1,918$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.57 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Raptors | 52c | 1,894$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.04 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Raptors | 58c | 1,630$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.58 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Raptors | 52c | 1,600$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.19 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Raptors | 51c | 1,476$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.81 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,379$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,375$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,308$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…1c90backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…104ebacked Raptors | 51c | 1,084$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,032$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.14 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,032$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.17 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…60f7backed Raptors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Raptors | 51c | 999.95$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers | 50c | 994.97$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.47 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Cavaliers | 48c | 979.66$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.23 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Raptors | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…979fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Raptors | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Raptors | 53c | 913.49$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.34 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Raptors | 53c | 900.62$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.29 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Cavaliers | 48c | 848.71$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.38 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Raptors | 48c | 826.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.03 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…ed41backed Cavaliers | 48c | 711.55$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Raptors | 52c | 691.4$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.87 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 688.25$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.48 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…8599backed Raptors | 52c | 684.01$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…7554backed Raptors | 52c | 653.69$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers | 48c | 650$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Raptors | 52c | 616.68$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.27 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 48c | 599.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 595.33$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…f2a3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Raptors | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Raptors | 51c | 555.53$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Cavaliers | 44c | 554.29$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.58 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Cavaliers | 48c | 542.53$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.41 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Raptors | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Raptors | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 470.58$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.41 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Raptors | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 464.22$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 175.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 177.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 182.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 185.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 188.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 191.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 197.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 205.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 211.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.