MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1076fe84fa842de228e2f1ca42d2df53fc098afa10e484ea0e3d20eef4b394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0370…d000backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 23,341$5,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,857.56 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Washington Nationals | 0c | 17,420$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 13,095$7,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.87 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Washington Nationals | 8c | 12,380$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 10,140$4,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 9,164$5,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.32 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…88d5backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 7,460$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 5,549$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,600$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 4,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 3,529$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.96 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 3,470$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 3,248$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 3,201$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.01 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 2,927$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 2,910$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…90e2backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 2,525$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Washington Nationals | 17c | 2,376$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,298$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec3…461fbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,286$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 1,746$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.87 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 1,690$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 10c | 1,596$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Nationals | 18c | 1,424$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.7 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 1,246$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.15 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 1,060$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.82 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Washington Nationals | 4c | 949.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 939.49$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.19 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Washington Nationals | 19c | 897.58$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.67 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 823$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 800.64$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Washington Nationals | 17c | 744.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 660.42$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.93 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 619.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Washington Nationals | 6c | 562.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 538.56$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 498.57$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.49 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 486.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 477.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Washington Nationals | 12c | 460.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 438.87$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 435.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 423.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.74 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 13c | 402.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 391.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 342.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 336.95$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 291.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 290.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 289.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 265.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 264.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 252.7$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 250.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 202.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Washington Nationals | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 198.19$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 196.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 196$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 192.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 186.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 182.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 177.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 176.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 168.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 144.15$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 143$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 140.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…8d59backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 127.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Washington Nationals | 23c | 126.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.