MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1196d2653d97445e6f7e9809fa07d74a5444844358b34c3bc60ef82779ef0be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 55c | 5,936$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.32 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 47c | 3,969$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.33 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 46c | 2,723$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.44 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.97 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,967$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 1,919$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 54c | 1,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 39c | 1,853$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.36 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 1,043$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.85 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 44c | 899.84$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.91 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 768.16$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.87 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Over | 45c | 707.73$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.48 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 569.58$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.23 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 63c | 513.79$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 52c | 470$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 416.39$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 55c | 399.23$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.65 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 53c | 385.72$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.69 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 51c | 317.16$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 299.52$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 28c | 291.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 56c | 241.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 48c | 235.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 34c | 225.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 58c | 224.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 54c | 209.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 55c | 202$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 31c | 201$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 188.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 41c | 180$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 169.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 53c | 165.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 55c | 159.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 41c | 156.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 33c | 133.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 44c | 129.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 29c | 126$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 121.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 69c | 117.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 115.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 107.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 57c | 105.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 59c | 98.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 45c | 80.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 77.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 55c | 69.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Over | 55c | 64.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 56c | 63.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 39c | 63.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…db17backed Under | 55c | 57.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 45c | 52.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 59c | 46.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 59c | 45.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 55c | 44.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…2c8ebacked Over | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -54%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 41c | 40.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 37.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 32.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 46c | 31.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 45c | 30.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3b…913dbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 58c | 29.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Under | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 69c | 29.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 46c | 29.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 63c | 26.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Over | 50c | 25.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ba…cf3fbacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Under | 56c | 22.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…e18ebacked Under | 55c | 21.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 60c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Over | 55c | 19.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 56c | 18.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington NationalsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.