MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf9f1e49e8d548f3282a7b0706cd6d1a7ccb2d8895feeedf39456e385a91be0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 6,176$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.16 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 2,869$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 1,705$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.2 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,303$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,278$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.61 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,254$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 1,009$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 625.67$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 581.28$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 540$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 490.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.96 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 478.74$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 454.75$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.57 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 308.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 301.82$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 245.31$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 161.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 160.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 137.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 128.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 123.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 122.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 109.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 107$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 100.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 85.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 78.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 77.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 64.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 60.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 55.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 42.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 40.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 38.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 37.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 35.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 35.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 34.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 29.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 29.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 29.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…e18ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 17.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 17.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington NationalsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.