TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$471,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$470,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked St. Louis Cardinals42c103,343$43,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,001.321040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c38,000$22,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,04038148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c33,532$19,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,598.733754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Pittsburgh Pirates0c27,160$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1641847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Pittsburgh Pirates0c23,890$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.891,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates0c22,020$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0252449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c19,720$11,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,437.692554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Pittsburgh Pirates0c19,020$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0227146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals41c17,840$7,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,525.591,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c16,980$10,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,018.25862.1%36 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c16,314$9,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,834.134,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Pittsburgh Pirates6c15,000$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.3711947.1%56 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals48c14,735$7,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,639.6310,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c11,196$6,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,493.7226257.3%150 W · 112 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates24c11,021$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.6111,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pittsburgh Pirates1c10,639$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ac…88c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates54c10,285$5,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,531.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals52c10,255$5,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,926.516,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed St. Louis Cardinals41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,90012457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Pittsburgh Pirates8c9,848$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.851,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c8,700$5,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0589350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c8,491$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,969.835,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed St. Louis Cardinals72c6,496$4,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.572,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates16c6,468$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05512227.9%34 W · 88 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95077153.8%415 W · 356 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9506350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9004835.4%17 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals49c4,764$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.0212,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals71c3,442$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.51,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals69c2,677$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.751,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals67c2,201$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.9521449.5%106 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb58f…a45cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates3c2,054$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60180%0 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked St. Louis Cardinals41c2,022$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.933852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1601,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates60c1,962$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.21,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pittsburgh Pirates29c1,873$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.7423036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c1,839$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.7360451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates12c1,800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216429.5%4 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-80.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates1c1,413$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.088762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c1,356$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.046662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates9c1,317$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7533515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates27c1,305$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.621,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals41c1,280$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.311,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals72c1,264$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.478,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals42c1,244$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.896,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals71c1,154$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.995,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed St. Louis Cardinals42c1,134$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.261,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked St. Louis Cardinals40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60023244%102 W · 130 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed St. Louis Cardinals43c974.38$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.3119934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c905$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.91,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals79c763.46$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.292,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates18c739.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4913818.8%26 W · 112 L-17.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates19c736.57$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.379,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Pittsburgh Pirates17c685.25$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2616232.1%52 W · 110 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates10c677.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6326315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Pittsburgh Pirates8c606.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4884840.2%341 W · 507 L-3.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed St. Louis Cardinals42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2432742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c593.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates51c586.65$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991,13942.7%486 W · 653 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed St. Louis Cardinals57c567.66$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.931,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals49c525$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8960941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked St. Louis Cardinals75c517$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2518067.8%122 W · 58 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed St. Louis Cardinals58c510.77$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.111,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Pittsburgh Pirates62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31080159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed St. Louis Cardinals41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29555052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Pittsburgh Pirates5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Pittsburgh Pirates29c500$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9850860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked St. Louis Cardinals43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1211941.2%49 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c443.76$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3818257.7%105 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c396.55$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0369351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c385$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.320851.9%108 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed St. Louis Cardinals57c382.51$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.729152.7%48 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c381.8$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4411755.6%65 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c373.08$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3852347.2%247 W · 276 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates4c360.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1226718.4%49 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed St. Louis Cardinals42c360$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.811744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255540%22 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals56c354.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.661,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c344.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9830155.1%166 W · 135 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb64c…41dabacked St. Louis Cardinals43c336.1$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.584744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals41c335.54$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.971729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c320.91$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3341051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed St. Louis Cardinals41c310.54$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.222740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed St. Louis Cardinals41c310.54$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.221926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-50.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed St. Louis Cardinals42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1744434.1%15 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17478550.2%394 W · 391 L+2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates10c291.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.452,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f3…4fcfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates61c262.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16017954.2%97 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae1…aad2backed Pittsburgh Pirates7c257.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92814.3%4 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked St. Louis Cardinals62c257.63$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.951,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Pittsburgh Pirates10c254.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511116.2%18 W · 93 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-11%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates26c249.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6550337.2%187 W · 316 L-42.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c248.17$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4212850%64 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c231.08$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.349945.5%45 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0881657.1%466 W · 350 L-2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…0d90backed Pittsburgh Pirates20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked St. Louis Cardinals41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11835446%163 W · 191 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.