TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under53c50,299$26,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,658.7255053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over47c43,543$20,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,077.658856.8%50 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under3c9,396$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2618551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5902,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c2,400$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.996,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c2,204$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.0647953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02011749.6%58 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,873$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.635,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Over48c1,277$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.111741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.611652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under51c1,183$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.322,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5831,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under53c860$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.81,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42421653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c784.18$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.451,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31211744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32439047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under54c579.28$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.914,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa382…d301backed Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25585952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25521052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under50c408.37$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1956851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over47c238$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Over48c235$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.25657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under52c232.69$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12122248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under21c224.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4111551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Under23c208.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.045337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bac…0d22backed Over44c204.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0838455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c200.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under37c182.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.736,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2749649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over49c162.04$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2413152.7%69 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9444348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b70…5a00backed Under52c120.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under43c115.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.092,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe77…c8e7backed Under52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over54c98.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.566,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1276…0845backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd7…8373backed Under52c91.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Over49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.63658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x088d…3516backed Over49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61984.2%16 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+73.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over47c77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8120044.5%89 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…6701backed Under52c77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over64c61.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.381,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x565a…0e3cbacked Over50c61.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3046557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed5…3754backed Under52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3de…9c81backed Over49c59.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Over48c58.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.242748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over41c46.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.65,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7921353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5514946.3%69 W · 80 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1101…5de1backed Over48c41.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over47c41.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0522554.7%123 W · 102 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.215,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.816544.8%74 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under51c37.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9225249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over49c31.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.497050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0878146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under54c30.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4872655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c9d…cb2cbacked Over47c29.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under54c27.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0114047.1%66 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over58c26.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed Over47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.533253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.451,01450.4%511 W · 503 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over58c24.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.232,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3534…a1b3backed Over48c24.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.497051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e65…b28bbacked Under42c23.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under50c23.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.461,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over51c20.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.271,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.