La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd09347d3753ca37c6651ade0b213bf8a83dffea891505e96e7301699b6bae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.97 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…f8e3backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 11c | 947.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 12c | 808.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 554.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 11c | 238.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 10c | 216.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e0…e493backed Yes | 10c | 207.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 14c | 164.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…4f90backed Yes | 14c | 133.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 96.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 14c | 89.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 14c | 83.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-01?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.