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La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31e0…94b0backed No47c10,565$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,565.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c7,132$3,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,670.363,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes43c924.09$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1860648%291 W · 315 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes37c744.46$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9521950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c727.35$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9963332.2%204 W · 429 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No47c722$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.187939.9%351 W · 528 L-20.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes35c429.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.751,45845.1%658 W · 800 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No48c416.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.654376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes49c405.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes24c395.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.87038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2b…d4eabacked Yes76c395.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Yes46c387.27$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.762737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No69c380$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.128138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes20c268.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.617440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd23e…7cbebacked Yes6c252.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78fc…8c88backed Yes16c240.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick13cpaid+313%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes29c234.59$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5219856.1%111 W · 87 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes15c230.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.461752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes25c220$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No75c202$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.531952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes13c195.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510632.1%34 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes24c192.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.151729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No22c181$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No50c172.48$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.824936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes12c144$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2837829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes23c142.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.276934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes69c138.81$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.181040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec0…9430backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes62c122$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes67c118.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.897564%48 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x993e…c4c3backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes65c88.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.519953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfef8…0b4dbacked Yes25c84.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes40c84.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7747540.8%194 W · 281 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec4…1958backed Yes63c79.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c74…14a4backed Yes75c66.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79f7…ef5bbacked Yes29c57.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c55.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.054,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f9…21e4backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked No37c50.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.674259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.562744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82da…ac29backed Yes61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5e…75a4backed Yes74c48.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5750%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd92a…31ebbacked Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.14748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed No58c42.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes53c42.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.728146.9%38 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102015%3 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes39c33.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.245133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Yes55c33.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c29.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9180250.2%403 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e30…49aebacked No43c25.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd45c…bb50backed No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes54c24.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c6…dd1cbacked Yes53c20.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.47273.6%53 W · 19 L+0.3wins0.00per pick73cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec44…d3bbbacked Yes55c19.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.64065%26 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.