TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Metsof New York Mets, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets54c37,143$20,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,087.062,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Colorado Rockies43c30,762$13,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,227.757755.8%43 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Colorado Rockies45c17,921$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Colorado Rockies32c16,299$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.937647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Colorado Rockies7c16,236$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11014134%48 W · 93 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Colorado Rockies44c13,169$5,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,794.2998149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets57c12,835$7,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5191,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed New York Mets57c11,904$6,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,118.6815851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets56c11,110$6,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.2638148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Colorado Rockies49c10,159$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+53%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Colorado Rockies12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Colorado Rockies44c9,079$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.768441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies44c6,560$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.074,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Colorado Rockies17c6,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012227.9%34 W · 88 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Colorado Rockies47c5,322$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.399153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed New York Mets56c4,185$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.4286548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed New York Mets57c3,898$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.2513655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets56c3,664$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.721,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets61c3,445$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.4210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Colorado Rockies29c3,441$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.351,14043%490 W · 650 L-37.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies13c2,893$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.3111,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies16c2,868$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.2812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Colorado Rockies44c2,727$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20019250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed Colorado Rockies43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed New York Mets56c2,310$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.428258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets56c2,235$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.426,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets56c2,223$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9781,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets51c2,080$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.272,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets80c1,976$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.141,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed New York Mets56c1,816$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.22969%20 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed New York Mets56c1,721$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.7261947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed New York Mets53c1,594$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.51258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Colorado Rockies47c1,450$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.570546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Colorado Rockies44c1,443$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.032,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed New York Mets56c1,315$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.5151547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets56c1,303$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.831,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets54c1,158$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.625,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies44c1,127$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.451,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Colorado Rockies45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011051.8%57 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Colorado Rockies43c1,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.9954048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Colorado Rockies13c1,075$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.681323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-60.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed New York Mets56c1,029$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.8160451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Colorado Rockies13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130429.5%4 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-80.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Colorado Rockies15c971.79$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.041,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ce…356dbacked Colorado Rockies44c908.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed99…2677backed New York Mets55c900.09$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.091662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed New York Mets57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38734648.6%168 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Colorado Rockies37c900$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33227552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Colorado Rockies24c815.37$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.372,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Colorado Rockies43c804$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.721,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9235…224dbacked New York Mets56c760$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Colorado Rockies35c743.69$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.634332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado Rockies35c736.22$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1394034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed New York Mets55c704.98$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.343053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed New York Mets71c682.38$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0210762.6%67 W · 40 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed New York Mets58c675.4$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5937941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed New York Mets73c667.82$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8210860.2%65 W · 43 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3e…f880backed Colorado Rockies9c642.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Colorado Rockies46c634.12$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6921842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets67c625.84$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.131,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Colorado Rockies6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611134.2%38 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Colorado Rockies44c570$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.822548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Colorado Rockies44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Colorado Rockies27c551.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.450337.2%187 W · 316 L-42.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Colorado Rockies47c542.76$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.491,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Colorado Rockies10c521.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3816947.3%80 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde27…2cfdbacked Colorado Rockies44c511.36$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Colorado Rockies7c495.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Colorado Rockies44c481$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6421653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies43c478.13$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.086,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Colorado Rockies44c474.09$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.616543%71 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies32c463.36$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.511,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f7…b944backed Colorado Rockies15c454.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.342420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Colorado Rockies44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19837052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked New York Mets61c420.78$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.741,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked New York Mets57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17239850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Rockies27c400$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.285135.8%305 W · 546 L-23.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed New York Mets56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17626759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed New York Mets51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19629331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets77c399.55$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.121,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Colorado Rockies45c398$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.111141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked New York Mets54c396.72$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colorado Rockies6c389.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.431,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Colorado Rockies43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies44c347.57$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.023,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed New York Mets57c321.05$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.051250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Colorado Rockies49c315.62$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.167126.8%19 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked New York Mets51c304.47$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.242,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Colorado Rockies45c304.44$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13740348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies44c301.1$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.523,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb37a…f1b1backed New York Mets55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Colorado Rockies7c300$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.629950.5%151 W · 148 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked New York Mets57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12914358%83 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d54…1d3ebacked New York Mets56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Colorado Rockies52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Colorado Rockies14c281.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2160348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Colorado Rockies43c267$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.686647%31 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed New York Mets57c263$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0922849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Colorado Rockies44c250.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.261,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.