MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x400842c57c69b183c1eac9562c1694ee9157724a465f2a3a7457d80b52c4f5d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 236,635$115,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,626.78 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…4830backed Under | 51c | 220,804$112,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,277.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 51c | 40,744$20,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,055.03 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 5,718$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Under | 56c | 4,917$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.44 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 3,063$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.17 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 1,862$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.64 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 1,823$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.62 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 1,674$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.42 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 51c | 1,657$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.17 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 49c | 1,541$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.08 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 49c | 1,500$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,201$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.52 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 53c | 1,150$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.5 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 16c | 1,145$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 3c | 875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Over | 52c | 825.77$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 51c | 710$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.1 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under | 48c | 691$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.32 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Over | 4c | 606.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Under | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 508.01$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.93 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 500$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 494.44$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Over | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Over | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Under | 64c | 338.88$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 323$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 50c | 293.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 288$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Over | 19c | 263.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 53c | 241$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 20c | 225.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 20c | 224.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 54c | 222$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 16c | 201.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 47c | 191.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Over | 51c | 173.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 61c | 164.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 145$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Over | 18c | 132.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 51c | 107.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 49c | 104.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 48c | 102.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…14d6backed Under | 52c | 102.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 101.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 43c | 93.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Under | 73c | 89.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 40c | 67.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 49c | 67.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 20c | 65.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72a…0433backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…20ccbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Over | 49c | 36.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 50c | 33.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 50c | 32.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…bcfdbacked Over | 50c | 29.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 45c | 26.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…b9d8backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 151 | 38.4%58 W · 93 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 56c | 24.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…5d6dbacked Over | 51c | 22.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 77c | 22.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…feeebacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…bbd3backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 75c | 19.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 78c | 16.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 79c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Colorado RockiesNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.