MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcacc2afbb1e7c9a409ddec7d8b57c804c7eb0884da52962ac44d75a9e2c8089d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Houston Astros, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Houston Astros | 0c | 131,994$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 21,757$11,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,790.82 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 35c | 15,312$5,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 45c | 15,169$6,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,826.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 13,550$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 43c | 13,188$5,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Houston Astros | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.98 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 9,900$5,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Houston Astros | 47c | 9,452$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.49 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 0c | 7,933$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 7,098$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.57 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…d66fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 6,660$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 36c | 4,501$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.65 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 45c | 3,856$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Houston Astros | 5c | 3,541$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 32c | 3,070$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72f…b869backed Houston Astros | 47c | 2,177$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 2,044$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.15 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,963$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.23 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 1,791$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.22 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,459$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.37 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,277$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,275$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.94 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,245$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.47 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,223$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.61 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 27c | 1,196$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,154$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.3 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,153$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.06 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 902.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.96 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Houston Astros | 40c | 879.63$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.73 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 868$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.96 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Houston Astros | 46c | 761.84$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.12 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Houston Astros | 33c | 731.11$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.38 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 717.43$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.24 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Houston Astros | 45c | 673.36$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.01 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 661.3$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 600.15$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 563.44$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.72 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Houston Astros | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Houston Astros | 38c | 488.76$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.73 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Houston Astros | 3c | 454.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Houston Astros | 35c | 444.55$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Houston Astros | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros | 46c | 384$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 383$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Houston Astros | 24c | 359.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 344.14$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Houston Astros | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 296$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 279.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Houston Astros | 34c | 270.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…bb31backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 261.61$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Houston Astros | 7c | 256.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Houston Astros | 12c | 240$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…784abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…c81ebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 232$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 225$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Houston Astros | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…edf1backed Houston Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7edabacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 209.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 207$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 207$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Houston Astros | 46c | 206$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 204.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 187$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 185.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Houston Astros | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 178.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 175.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…bfaabacked Houston Astros | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…70a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 165.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Houston Astros | 17c | 152.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…4f90backed Houston Astros | 42c | 148.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Houston Astros | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Houston Astros | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…bfdabacked Houston Astros | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Houston Astros | 45c | 121.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Houston Astros | 46c | 121.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 42c | 120.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Houston Astros | 47c | 118.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…3a80backed Houston Astros | 45c | 117.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…414ebacked Houston Astros | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Houston Astros | 36c | 110.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Houston Astros | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Houston Astros | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Houston Astros | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 13.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.