Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eabe0941307ced1dfa0834bace014189f070ea967df01548517220aee14306b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 12,985$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 12c | 10,999$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.51 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 10,864$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.37 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 8,547$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.92 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 8c | 3,671$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.7 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 18c | 3,150$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.4 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 2,911$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.07 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 2,275$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 7c | 2,168$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 60c | 1,657$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 38c | 1,205$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.79 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 19c | 1,161$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.01 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 778.88$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.74 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 9c | 746.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 9c | 714.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 41c | 509$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 43c | 467.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 41c | 442.02$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.79 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 398.1$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 61c | 330.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 330$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 40c | 281$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x963f…4487backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 198.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…54bdbacked Yes | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 167.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 18c | 166.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 10c | 128.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 123.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 38c | 104.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 14c | 103.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 39c | 100.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 60c | 83.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 83.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 17c | 82.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 24c | 81.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 38c | 79.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…4f90backed Yes | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 69.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 60c | 68.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7142…f1c2backed Yes | 77c | 61.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Yes | 39c | 52.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…e4bebacked Yes | 65c | 47.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 47.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 62c | 40.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 31c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 41c | 36.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 59c | 33.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 51c | 33.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 71c | 33.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 61c | 32.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 58c | 26.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 61c | 26.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 62c | 24.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 69c | 21.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 60c | 21.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed No | 61c | 21.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 60c | 20.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed No | 61c | 19.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 60c | 18.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 63c | 18.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 78c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.