Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b9b98a237a7f1c119684853bc5cb1a18a2c227b04e106e5515e5744f361bdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 3c | 6,410$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 5,114$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 5,024$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 3,630$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes | 2c | 3,015$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,735$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,450$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Yes | 25c | 561.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 521.37$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 14c | 453.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 69c | 340.08$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 31c | 319.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 32c | 153.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed No | 66c | 146.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 67c | 116.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 106.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18df…fa22backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 69.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 32c | 51.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 68c | 50.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 70c | 43.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…f7a0backed Yes | 36c | 41.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 70c | 35.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 70c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 67c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 21.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked No | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.