MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ea1ca33175c1ea3223aab2bb610be453f864804657d375486f0e7701e0823ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Athletics, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $539,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $539,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf03…5b17backed Athletics | 0c | 108,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Athletics | 42c | 36,882$15,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,423.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Athletics | 40c | 35,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 52c | 20,032$10,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,508.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Athletics | 39c | 17,688$6,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,898.32 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 15,844$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,343.63 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 14,070$6,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,836.13 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 12,222$7,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.58 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 12,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 11,991$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,676.49 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Athletics | 40c | 10,137$4,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.94 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 7,526$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.66 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 6,907$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.36 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Athletics | 38c | 6,731$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.69 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 6,452$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.61 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Athletics | 40c | 6,221$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.6 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 5,543$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.81 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 4,832$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.83 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,574$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.72 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 4,243$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.16 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 4,187$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.21 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 4,057$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.76 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 3,785$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.33 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…3f0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 3,742$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 3,665$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.11 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 69c | 3,622$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.29 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Athletics | 40c | 3,587$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.79 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Athletics | 12c | 3,417$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.53 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 56c | 3,157$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.26 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 3,066$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 46c | 3,054$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,869$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.36 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,830$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.87 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 52c | 2,755$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.79 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,595$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Athletics | 39c | 2,120$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.8 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,980$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.63 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,718$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.31 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,684$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Athletics | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Athletics | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,078$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 40c | 996.51$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.94 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Athletics | 41c | 947.12$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.32 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 885$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Athletics | 69c | 877.15$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.23 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 877.08$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.17 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…d0f0backed Athletics | 40c | 867.64$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 863.55$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.22 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletics | 40c | 839.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 798.27$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 793.32$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.26 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Athletics | 37c | 695$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.15 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 652$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 634.12$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Athletics | 40c | 626.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Athletics | 71c | 618.74$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.53 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 617.42$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.87 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Athletics | 56c | 600$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 597.41$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.82 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Athletics | 61c | 592.87$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.6 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Athletics | 45c | 521$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Athletics | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Athletics | 48c | 498.32$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.82 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Athletics | 57c | 473.7$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Athletics | 46c | 469.33$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.89 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Athletics | 46c | 450.57$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.62 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Athletics | 41c | 445.1$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 444$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Athletics | 46c | 442.56$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 441.91$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.55 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Athletics | 73c | 432.47$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.7 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 47c | 421.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.41 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 410$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 407.08$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.18 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 39c | 400.03$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 58c | 396.52$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.19 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Athletics | 69c | 393.45$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.48 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Athletics | 39c | 383.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Athletics | 37c | 372.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 366.39$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 41c | 344.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Athletics | 40c | 277$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Athletics | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Athletics | 5c | 249.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Athletics | 55c | 249.17$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Athletics | 37c | 248$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.