MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d95b86772dabff1863c6535857180a24bb93adb3cdc76c4b601da1b05b55656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 6,876$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.52 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under | 54c | 6,818$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.87 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 50c | 6,658$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.73 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 4,562$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 49c | 3,283$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.51 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 50c | 3,205$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.54 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 53c | 2,309$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.66 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 2,284$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.46 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 1,964$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.71 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 75c | 1,676$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.74 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,599$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.26 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Under | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Under | 6c | 1,400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +131%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 12c | 1,374$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 48c | 1,332$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.4 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 17c | 1,313$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.36 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 1,180$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 1,062$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.58 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 4c | 1,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 52c | 956.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.28 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Under | 10c | 846.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 52c | 766.83$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.63 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Under | 63c | 637.39$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 13c | 625$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 602.07$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.12 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Under | 52c | 576.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 35c | 487.01$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.49 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 8c | 450$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 4c | 374.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 350.3$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.85 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 350$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.24 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 4c | 294.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 54c | 253.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Under | 5c | 240$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 49c | 199.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 151.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 50c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 149.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 47c | 144$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Under | 10c | 133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 47c | 109$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Under | 51c | 97.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 66c | 85.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 65c | 80.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 46c | 62.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 51c | 58.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 50c | 52.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…de82backed Over | 49c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Under | 77c | 40.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 40.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 63c | 34.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 55c | 34.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 59c | 33.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…6787backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 253 | 56.9%144 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 67c | 26.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 49c | 22.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 54c | 21.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 60c | 20.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5f…b2e2backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 64c | 16.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.