MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd1b2d33fea7ff29ffba37ed12be24750b31319fa1cca0c793d2d740389e868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Detroit Tigers, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 5,655$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 4,580$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 706$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.4 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 644.65$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.78 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 503$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 369.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 361$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 287.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 269.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 259.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 172.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…bd08backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 139.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 133.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 123.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 110.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 98.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 62.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 56.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 56.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 56.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 56.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 56.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 43.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 42.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 42.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…4f90backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 36.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 36.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 36.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 29.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…e861backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 26.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 16.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-6.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.