Premier League · resolved market
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-08-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bd03ec6a2dd6b551f8856255059ce5814266306ef9a63ab8f800a53650fcb10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 2,570$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.02 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 711.39$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.97 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 4c | 625.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 5c | 561.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 5c | 538.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…b275backed No | 5c | 510.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 6c | 497.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed No | 6c | 458.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 458.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.98 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…0fc3backed No | 5c | 406.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 372.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.81 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…4f1dbacked Yes | 79c | 252.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…292abacked No | 6c | 214.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 6c | 205$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 79c | 195.24$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 8c | 136.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes | 30c | 118.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 104.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 13c | 96.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 12c | 93.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d078backed No | 12c | 89.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 30c | 71.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 73c | 70.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 71c | 70.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 64.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked No | 25c | 61.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 45.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 72c | 45.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 30c | 44.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 36.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Yes | 30c | 35.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 71c | 35.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 57c | 27.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 24.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-08-07?this page
- Will Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Stevenage FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wycombe Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.