TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7fe…0fc3backed Over1c1,927$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick24cpaid+3,304.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over65c1,847$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.6215650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under35c1,469$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.9946550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2c…b275backed Over2c1,466$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.46650%3 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+1,168.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Over2c979.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.011375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Over77c908.27$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8820253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Over64c725.21$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.669237%34 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under34c657.35$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0517629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed Over5c558.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.982924.1%7 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+155.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Over2c555$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.97558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Over2c539.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.622927.6%8 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick8cpaid+805.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked Over6c503.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.682722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18014234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Over6c483.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.684839.6%19 W · 29 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+126.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x53b4…2e88backed Under37c391.77$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.96319.7%3 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under35c371.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3829154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaffc…cddcbacked Under37c356.22$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.886937.7%26 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…8174backed Over66c341.2$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.25226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under36c288.89$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10426155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Under38c281.45$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.954858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Under37c210.02$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7130241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under35c164$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.63,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.937448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under37c141.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under38c105.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7266056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Over61c94.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Over66c84.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6833154.4%180 W · 151 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under39c67.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.131,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under40c63.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.571,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under40c63.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5717448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under37c63.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Over64c62.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1828055%154 W · 126 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d4…00a2backed Under36c52.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1832042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd547…64c4backed Over64c49.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.077140.8%29 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf6…ffe3backed Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+75%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc230…cf59backed Over28c44.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over63c33.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.392,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061e…8f24backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2610947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over65c29.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb135…9b0ebacked Under37c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.682352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over60c18.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.461,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Over65c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.