Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe674ded23a0233fbbc2a78d78c10334d686729c3f5cf4d2a735abb4955255e14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 78c | 2,093$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.97 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Over | 24c | 878.41$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 78c | 774.48$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Over | 27c | 703.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.91 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 21c | 702.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Under | 73c | 697.6$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 21c | 466.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…8174backed Over | 23c | 443.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Under | 79c | 381.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 78c | 255.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed Under | 80c | 249.05$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 206.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 21c | 194.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…18e8backed Over | 24c | 150.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…420dbacked Over | 21c | 108.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 23c | 106.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Over | 21c | 101.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 79c | 99.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 22c | 91.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 23c | 81.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe101…06e7backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 21c | 75.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 21c | 74.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 79c | 71.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…1b2abacked Over | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…6d50backed Over | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…37e0backed Under | 79c | 50.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…76e3backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…ffe3backed Under | 76c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Under | 80c | 20.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Take First CornerCabo Verde won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.