Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 7.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85c3e9a5aedbd859a10edaf777348689733076f9aa006d76cdebcc33b416802d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 40c | 2,455$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.5 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bb…3aa6backed Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 59c | 1,239$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.13 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 35c | 1,135$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.14 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 1,005$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…1178backed Over | 39c | 994.04$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.7 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 61c | 482.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 60c | 476.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.04 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 62c | 468.87$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 60c | 411.66$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 60c | 402.34$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 62c | 397.8$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Under | 61c | 387.05$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 45c | 359.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 61c | 341.95$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 60c | 274.48$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Over | 38c | 259.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Under | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 62c | 227.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 60c | 226.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 65c | 226$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 62c | 200.69$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 37c | 181.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 38c | 162.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 147.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 147.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Over | 39c | 132.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…1cbbbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 60c | 100.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…18e8backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 60c | 98.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 57c | 96.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…eecbbacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 40c | 78.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…296bbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 61c | 73.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…8c0ebacked Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 41c | 59.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…a5a7backed Over | 39c | 50.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…2e0abacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 51.5%105 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…4a2cbacked Over | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 60c | 43.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Under | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 63c | 35.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…1b63backed Under | 62c | 34.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Under | 61c | 33.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Under | 61c | 33.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…a382backed Under | 61c | 33.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked Under | 61c | 32.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ee…c9cdbacked Under | 62c | 28.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 59c | 24.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…aa5ebacked Under | 64c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 7.5 Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Take First CornerCabo Verde won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.