Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b673c5174c534a2aa59a0db276226e2a85728386cd1dbf1f2b0d569d822a759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 55c | 2,980$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.57 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Under | 48c | 1,370$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.27 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 42c | 942.35$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.19 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Under | 43c | 942.33$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.4 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 30c | 359.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 39c | 282.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 220.03$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 70c | 176.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Under | 46c | 169.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…d1f9backed Over | 54c | 148.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Under | 45c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe0…56eabacked Over | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…cddcbacked Under | 42c | 77.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 70c | 72.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…d9ecbacked Over | 49c | 69.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…8704backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…5fc4backed Over | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…7a42backed Under | 51c | 45.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…30f2backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Under | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Over | 58c | 35.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 52c | 26.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…e302backed Over | 47c | 22.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 301 | 37.2%112 W · 189 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 56c | 20.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a5…06edbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…cae5backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Take First CornerCabo Verde won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.