TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,766 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over40c1,646$656 inWon+$990.7851859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over50c1,621$803 inWon+$817.5640163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under62c1,550$961 inLost-$960.9931152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over40c1,236$500 inWon+$735.8531435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under1c1,075$11 inLost-$11.412,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226a…258abacked Under59c816.43$482 inLost-$481.695248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under58c816.43$474 inLost-$473.539450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Under60c574.55$345 inLost-$344.735655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under50c490.4$245 inLost-$245.226155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Over50c489.8$245 inWon+$244.923251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under60c190.33$114 inLost-$113.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Under70c100$70 inLost-$7013953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Under71c75$53 inLost-$53.2531358.1%182 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under55c60.44$33 inLost-$33.1216452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under49c52.94$26 inLost-$25.941,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Over48c42.98$21 inWon+$22.4230137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under56c41.23$23 inLost-$23.192,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon+$19.2228850.3%145 W · 143 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51dd…8294backed Under60c28.33$17 inLost-$179455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under48c28$13 inLost-$13.4461752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over49c27.61$14 inWon+$14.083,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under46c24.33$11 inLost-$11.2316344.2%72 W · 91 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffc…cddcbacked Under52c20$10 inLost-$10.46937.7%26 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.