TailMyPicks

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Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Take First Corner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cabo Verdeof Argentina, Cabo Verde
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,348 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x484a…316abacked Cabo Verde41c641.04$264 inWon+$376.946636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Argentina55c473.58$260 inLost-$260.4740163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Cabo Verde21c432.98$90 inWon+$342.851228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Cabo Verde20c397.59$80 inWon+$317.142,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Cabo Verde41c369.11$151 inWon+$218.211,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Argentina79c253.48$200 inLost-$20027254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa7…ec30backed Argentina80c227.29$181 inLost-$180.831241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Cabo Verde21c167.01$35 inWon+$131.781,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cabo Verde26c150.08$39 inWon+$111.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Cabo Verde17c149.6$25 inWon+$124.1633555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Cabo Verde20c127.29$25 inWon+$101.8341231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…e028backed Argentina74c100.01$74 inLost-$74.017335.6%26 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Argentina79c99.99$79 inLost-$78.9947049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bb…d137backed Cabo Verde21c95.53$20 inWon+$75.531844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1241…081bbacked Argentina80c95.14$76 inLost-$75.792860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44bc…ddb3backed Argentina79c67.35$53 inLost-$53.21977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Argentina62c50$31 inLost-$31.12,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5492…d420backed Argentina76c39.47$30 inLost-$303946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Argentina77c27.76$21 inLost-$21.3743460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5c2…2b81backed Argentina77c20$15 inLost-$15.4540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…64a4backed Argentina76c20$15 inLost-$15.21030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb8b…37e0backed Argentina79c16.46$13 inLost-$1313135.9%47 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…b3a5backed Argentina80c13.75$11 inLost-$11560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.