Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b4f8aae6436bdf00644ba5afc08ae222fb580111b97e07ba3bacd54b3ee214b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 44c | 2,047$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 1,786$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 47c | 1,347$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 1,327$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.41 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 46c | 1,031$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.43 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked Under | 56c | 1,017$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.69 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 55c | 959.55$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.8 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 53c | 906.1$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.87 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 749.98$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 46c | 650.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…f793backed Over | 43c | 604.74$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 57c | 569.96$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 53c | 469.49$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.66 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 54c | 461.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 56c | 422.03$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.69 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 46c | 326.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Under | 56c | 323.51$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Under | 57c | 229.07$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 55c | 211.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 54c | 205.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 49c | 205.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 55c | 121.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Over | 43c | 116.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 111.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 55c | 99.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 27c | 62.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Under | 57c | 59.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Under | 57c | 57.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…dc09backed Over | 46c | 54.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…a16abacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…62f1backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda62…f654backed Under | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e1…38debacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…e37cbacked Over | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 57c | 34.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 34.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…a675backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 43c | 28.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 43c | 26.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 55c | 22.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Take First CornerCabo Verde won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.