Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ef5598e91354e2987cc0646fc1f1615549dda7517c67e1af9c3597efb7d7ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 57c | 7,074$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018.32 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked No | 54c | 4,877$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 39c | 4,150$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 70c | 4,091$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 3,596$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 3,552$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 1,817$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.13 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 30c | 1,526$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.85 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 1,493$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.74 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,401$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 43c | 1,161$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.92 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 53c | 1,159$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.53 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed No | 25c | 993.61$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 52c | 952.16$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.04 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 856.03$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.55 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 69c | 791.64$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 72c | 791.4$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.73 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 53c | 736$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.7 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…82ccbacked Yes | 53c | 555.93$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Yes | 47c | 550$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 28c | 464.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 64c | 410.92$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.18 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x690b…bd2cbacked No | 72c | 372.4$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed No | 60c | 329.31$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 322.25$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 320.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 318.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.99 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 301.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 79c | 291.82$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 52c | 264.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…0fc3backed Yes | 22c | 245.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 59c | 237.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 224$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…ded7backed Yes | 46c | 206.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 58c | 206$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Yes | 13c | 190.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 59c | 184.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 64c | 182$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 68c | 179.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 52c | 175.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 57c | 169.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 74c | 160$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 55c | 140.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked No | 29c | 132.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 57c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 70c | 123.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Yes | 73c | 122.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 58c | 116.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 113$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 54c | 111.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 66c | 107.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Yes | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc90e…c7b6backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed No | 52c | 93.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 71c | 85.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 23c | 83.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 60c | 80.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 31c | 72.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…2d27backed Yes | 65c | 67.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Yes | 53c | 67.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…7b25backed Yes | 21c | 64.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 58c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 73c | 59.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed Yes | 26c | 54.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 70c | 50.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6928…1075backed Yes | 70c | 48.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 43c | 48.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Yes | 77c | 45.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 31c | 45.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 32c | 43.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…54e2backed No | 37c | 41.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 28c | 39.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cc…ad18backed Yes | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 60c | 36.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…b275backed Yes | 29c | 35.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…f911backed Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-11?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.