Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e75603917b7b7cb778a896a9244aad6b8207061fa91e77108906314ac8fcbf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 30c | 8,779$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,480$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 2,458$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.48 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 2,432$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,274$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 2,168$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.85 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 1c | 755$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 27c | 281.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed No | 53c | 237.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Yes | 47c | 221.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed No | 75c | 216.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 29c | 199.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 77c | 179.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 7c | 178.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 30c | 130.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 129.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…4261backed Yes | 48c | 103.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 33c | 85.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 53c | 77.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 19c | 69.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 70c | 61.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 70c | 60.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 28c | 58.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed No | 59c | 54.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 29c | 52.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 31c | 51.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked Yes | 42c | 49.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 70c | 48.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 36.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked No | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 59c | 29.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 61c | 29.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked No | 70c | 25.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 70c | 17.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed No | 75c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked No | 70c | 14.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-11?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.