Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb035a50cc5d2b312a9fa5396fbc7b35ac40125d55a4d8ca7aae2504cfed5e375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 6,049$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 1,477$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.65 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 1,398$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.54 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 875.71$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.73 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…0c8abacked Yes | 25c | 426.28$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 384$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked No | 8c | 369.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 62c | 350$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.29 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 311.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 72c | 269.59$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 18c | 225.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 161.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 37c | 148.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 75c | 131$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 129$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 28c | 120$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked No | 75c | 111.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 80c | 107$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 18c | 98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 71c | 96.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 23c | 95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked No | 12c | 90.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 18c | 84.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 83.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…0fc3backed No | 37c | 65.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 69c | 64.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 61.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 27c | 58.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 69c | 51.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 69c | 45.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…0979backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…a30bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…6e58backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…4effbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…ea79backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…845fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 35.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 22.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 76c | 17.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 80c | 15.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-11?No won
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.