Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00b98ab9a4868cc241590d2b3df10de0bb76d8925a5eacfd369e28475e3b9d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 13,474$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 2c | 7,712$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 12c | 4,092$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.73 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,158$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,789$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 1c | 2,641$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,450$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 27c | 2,204$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.5 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,240$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.42 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 1c | 1,159$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 1,076$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 73c | 993.86$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.43 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 62c | 898.47$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.77 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 43c | 882.66$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.27 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 14c | 809.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.39 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 9c | 621.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…0442backed Yes | 2c | 553.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 150 | 20%30 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 528.24$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed Yes | 10c | 500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 54c | 457.37$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.67 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 16c | 452.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 10c | 293.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 37c | 289.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 74c | 242.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Yes | 8c | 230$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 12c | 193.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 14c | 189.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 9c | 165$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 50c | 164.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 31c | 133.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb3…f9f6backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 10c | 110.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…9d65backed Yes | 14c | 104.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 12.7%14 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 16c | 84.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed No | 28c | 84.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 17c | 79.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 73c | 59.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Yes | 40c | 52.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Yes | 37c | 47.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 30c | 46.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 53c | 36.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…b275backed No | 33c | 35.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +1,168.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 29.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 72c | 27.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?this page
- Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.