Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd489e3662b46dabdd34b2d68c61f09de2a6555965dbacd30f9b41b998af5d76d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 34,371$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,132.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 1c | 23,345$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,211.15 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 1c | 12,304$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,154.14 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 1c | 9,071$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,950.71 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed No | 1c | 7,774$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 1c | 7,335$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,285.32 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,097$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.53 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 3,560$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.87 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 3,448$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 1c | 2,958$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.03 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Yes | 1c | 2,562$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.61 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4adfbacked No | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…048ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,276$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.91 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 1c | 2,213$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.2 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 68c | 2,207$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.4 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.3 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 1c | 2,083$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.33 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 1c | 2,034$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.96 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,806$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.65 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 1c | 1,532$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.94 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 14c | 1,273$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.58 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 3c | 1,238$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.54 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…d10fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.52 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +506.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 41c | 1,066$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.2 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 57c | 978.17$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.16 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Yes | 10c | 968.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.42 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes | 11c | 900$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.1 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 13c | 894.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.7 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…e42bbacked Yes | 3c | 892.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.86 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…23e2backed Yes | 12c | 804.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 2c | 800$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.6 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 9c | 705.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.1 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 23c | 433.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…834ebacked Yes | 3c | 416.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.72 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Yes | 7c | 406.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.15 | 69 | 10.1%7 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked No | 14c | 375.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 66c | 362.7$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.07 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…a6cebacked Yes | 9c | 341.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.35 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…b18cbacked Yes | 9c | 315.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 8c | 300.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…a9f9backed No | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…2dcabacked No | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.08 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 273.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.97 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 79c | 249.2$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 7c | 234.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 7c | 209.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.16 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…d6bcbacked Yes | 7c | 200$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec5…ae41backed Yes | 78c | 193$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 13c | 174.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 9c | 171.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3d…34efbacked Yes | 10c | 156.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…2b05backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…b7d8backed Yes | 10c | 146.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 145.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…bf74backed Yes | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 11c | 129.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…2d44backed Yes | 77c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 31c | 51.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked No | 32c | 36.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 70c | 34.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 68c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 68c | 29.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 68c | 26.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…91b2backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria?this page
- Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.