Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31708791bc3ac35b1b940a7b828ad729810fa1ff65c4d725a79743592b35d601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 4c | 3,333$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.65 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 2,710$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.93 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…f224backed No | 25c | 2,162$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 2,127$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd8…199ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +322%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 75c | 1,485$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.73 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 74c | 1,346$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.24 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Yes | 22c | 1,333$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…ea1cbacked No | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…dc59backed No | 25c | 870.6$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 5c | 532.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 3c | 476.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 10c | 410$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.8 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 56c | 391.73$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked No | 4c | 338.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 13c | 309.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.27 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 51c | 280.74$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 17c | 218.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.23 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 43c | 191.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 23c | 188.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 14c | 180.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 44c | 173.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 32c | 165.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 43c | 158.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 152.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 56c | 145.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…56ebbacked Yes | 17c | 141.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 67c | 116.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 40c | 110.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 18c | 100.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 67c | 85.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 44c | 69.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 80c | 61.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 24c | 57.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 59c | 53.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…b275backed No | 31c | 42.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 70c | 26.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 22.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Yes | 76c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 76c | 16.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.