Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b43aacfed4581dd6a0e01ef6db50aff3ef4a5122c2e6d2e0784f85396936619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 24c | 12,073$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.84 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…8b76backed Yes | 34c | 12,000$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 7,295$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 2,760$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.96 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 38c | 1,418$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.1 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 61c | 1,326$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 1,189$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.11 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed No | 73c | 1,153$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 1,141$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.75 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 1,109$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.82 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 723.87$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.89 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 47c | 673.58$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 618$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.62 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 25c | 600$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed No | 62c | 508.79$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 46c | 486.29$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 77c | 454.57$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 393.91$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 37c | 382.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 55c | 338$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 328.72$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.91 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 21c | 321.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 56c | 296.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed No | 54c | 283.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.33 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Yes | 37c | 274.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 231.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 54c | 213.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Yes | 33c | 175.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 172.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 171.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 21c | 170.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 31c | 170$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 35c | 166.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 73c | 164.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 55c | 114.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 37c | 110.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 47c | 108.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 46c | 106.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 79c | 93.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 89.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 79c | 86.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 76c | 68.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 64c | 55.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 43c | 50.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 43c | 39.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 76c | 39.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…1fa5backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 44c | 34.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 38c | 30.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 23.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 52c | 22.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 55c | 21.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 55c | 20.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Yes | 54c | 20.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…fb76backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 69c | 15.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
- Will FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.