Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ce0e75adbf7726b36a48edb61fed6c50b30c4ce17cb29d80890b4f15a325b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,465$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 15c | 809.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.8 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 41c | 661.71$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.3 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 71c | 634.34$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.01 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 553.74$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.68 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed No | 16c | 507$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +281.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 485.05$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 27c | 277$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 272$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 48c | 228.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 62c | 189.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 39c | 183.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 77c | 181.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 55c | 178$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 141.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 53c | 139.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 56c | 129.23$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 10c | 120.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 34c | 120.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 45c | 108.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 55c | 95.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 55c | 87.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 58c | 85.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 62c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 72c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 59c | 61.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 59c | 54.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed Yes | 38c | 53.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 65c | 38.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 36c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 56c | 34.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 49c | 29.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 66c | 28.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 60c | 20.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 79c | 15.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo end in a draw?this page
- Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.