TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes46c23,349$10,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,570.8128940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…b7d4backed No0c15,941$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.041822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No49c13,166$6,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,402.42,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No29c8,388$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.421,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes70c7,958$5,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.6349136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes68c7,173$4,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.815,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No30c6,954$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.891,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes70c6,486$4,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.8123733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No30c5,236$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.581,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c3,351$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.368,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No74c1,947$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.3448547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed No30c1,851$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No76c1,621$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.6450643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No29c1,600$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No30c1,576$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.916553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x415a…7577backed Yes71c1,523$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+123.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc6…5928backed Yes47c1,486$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed No30c1,378$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.257028.6%20 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No28c1,267$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed Yes58c1,202$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No2c1,053$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5320036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No22c1,001$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.011,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes62c971.37$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.372864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No27c815.28$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.099122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No57c785.51$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.7612738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed No44c749.54$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.523935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No29c613.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6916641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed No34c602.31$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.641631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No24c590.12$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8130847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes15c577.23$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.5757540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9732…cd57backed No5c549.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes28c539.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.3615625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked No6c499.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282528%7 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No63c497.16$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.1551945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…8586backed No3c466.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick10cpaid+110.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.575837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Yes62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.23650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c7b…3d69backed Yes69c353$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+61.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6865…6033backed No29c349.88$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No29c348$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.832,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68f0…c32dbacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfff7…7c28backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6922049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.525635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes38c247.72$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2226835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No45c245$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.541,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No32c212.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.163636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc141…292abacked No5c209.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a3…3dedbacked No10c207.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No20c196.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6620055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes46c194.17$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.546449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes52c184$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8564…93ffbacked Yes69c182$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc09f…8865backed No34c178.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fe…0fc3backed No22c178.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4880%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80aa…e8eabacked No12c175.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211625%4 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No41c175.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0427442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes23c175.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.841,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.297248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1230…0ce6backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92ab…2ed6backed Yes33c151$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.172429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No29c150.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes72c148.03$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4511457%65 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes24c145.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.099244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes69c144.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.283372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+45.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked No15c144.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212231.8%7 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes70c142.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8617051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa544…0c80backed Yes57c141.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8514446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes78c139.04$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5921765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes80c138$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1424665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes75c133.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.952378.3%18 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+93%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes55c133.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed No61c128.21$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.213040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No30c128$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.417951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5576951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.625345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes51c112.57$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2114753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No32c105.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.842,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes48c101.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1719050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8018631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5040…96cfbacked Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No33c99.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes65c97.04$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No30c92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.68930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes70c91.43$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.439158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes45c84.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.591764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No29c82.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa11…650bbacked Yes54c78.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.011573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked No18c77.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61ec…4133backed Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No29c73.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3316234.6%56 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…c5f5backed Yes63c71.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes31c71.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.133180.6%25 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+78.7%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.